- Day Three
acus02 kwns 140621
Storm Prediction Center ac 140620
Day 2 convective outlook
National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1220 am CST Fri Dec 14 2018
Valid 151200z - 161200z
..there is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms eastern NC...
strong thunderstorms may impact portions of eastern North Carolina
early Saturday, accompanied by at least some risk for severe
Strong large-scale mid-level height falls will spread into the
middle Atlantic and Carolinas region during the day2 period as a
pronounced upper low ejects across northern Alabama into western NC by
late afternoon. In response to this feature, 50kt+ low level jet will develop
across eastern NC which should allow modified maritime air mass to
advance inland across coastal Carolinas. Forecast soundings suggest
adequate buoyancy for deep updrafts within a strongly sheared
environment. It appears some threat for damaging winds will
accompany the strongest convection during the morning and most
activity should be shunted offshore by early afternoon.
..maximum risk by hazard...
Tornado: <2% - none
wind: 5% - marginal
hail: <5% - none