U.S. Severe Weather Forecast (Convective Outlook)

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Day Three

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acus02 kwns 140621 
swody2 
Storm Prediction Center ac 140620 


Day 2 convective outlook 
National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 
1220 am CST Fri Dec 14 2018 


Valid 151200z - 161200z 


..there is a marginal risk of severe thunderstorms eastern NC... 


... 
strong thunderstorms may impact portions of eastern North Carolina 
early Saturday, accompanied by at least some risk for severe 
weather. 


... 


Strong large-scale mid-level height falls will spread into the 
middle Atlantic and Carolinas region during the day2 period as a 
pronounced upper low ejects across northern Alabama into western NC by 
late afternoon. In response to this feature, 50kt+ low level jet will develop 
across eastern NC which should allow modified maritime air mass to 
advance inland across coastal Carolinas. Forecast soundings suggest 
adequate buoyancy for deep updrafts within a strongly sheared 
environment. It appears some threat for damaging winds will 
accompany the strongest convection during the morning and most 
activity should be shunted offshore by early afternoon. 


..maximum risk by hazard... 
Tornado: <2% - none 
wind: 5% - marginal 
hail: <5% - none 


.Darrow.. 12/14/2018 


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