Tropical Cyclone Berguitta

Last Updated: 1516406400

Location:
-27.9N 309.7E
Movement:
SSW at 23 mph
Wind:
50 mph
Pressure:
--

Storm Maps
Storm Details

Select a report to view:

000 
wtxs31 pgtw 200300
msgid/genadmin/joint typhoon wrncen Pearl Harbor hi//
subj/tropical cyclone warning//
rmks/
1. Tropical cyclone 06s (berguitta) warning nr 030    
   01 active tropical cyclone in southio
   Max sustained winds based on one-minute average
   wind radii valid over open water only
    ---
   warning position:
   200000z --- near 27.9s 50.3e
     movement past six hours - 205 degrees at 20 kts
     position accurate to within 060 nm
     position based on center located by satellite
   present wind distribution:
   Max sustained winds - 045 kt, gusts 055 kt
   wind radii valid over open water only
   radius of 034 kt winds - 140 nm northeast quadrant
                            240 nm southeast quadrant
                            200 nm southwest quadrant
                            140 nm northwest quadrant
   repeat posit: 27.9s 50.3e
    ---
   forecasts:
   12 hrs, valid at:
   201200z --- 30.6s 49.6e
   Max sustained winds - 045 kt, gusts 055 kt
   wind radii valid over open water only
   becoming extratropical
   radius of 034 kt winds - 195 nm northeast quadrant
                            285 nm southeast quadrant
                            225 nm southwest quadrant
                            165 nm northwest quadrant
   vector to 24 hr posit: 165 deg/ 10 kts
    ---
   24 hrs, valid at:
   210000z --- 32.6s 50.2e
   Max sustained winds - 045 kt, gusts 055 kt
   wind radii valid over open water only
   becoming extratropical
   radius of 034 kt winds - 220 nm northeast quadrant
                            300 nm southeast quadrant
                            245 nm southwest quadrant
                            210 nm northwest quadrant
   vector to 36 hr posit: 120 deg/ 12 kts
    ---
   36 hrs, valid at:
   211200z --- 33.8s 52.6e
   Max sustained winds - 040 kt, gusts 050 kt
   wind radii valid over open water only
   extratropical
   radius of 034 kt winds - 190 nm northeast quadrant
                            285 nm southeast quadrant
                            275 nm southwest quadrant
                            245 nm northwest quadrant
    ---
remarks:
200300z position near 28.6s 50.1e.
Tropical cyclone (tc) 06s (berguitta), located approximately 521 nm
south-southwest of St Denis, has tracked south-southwestward at
20 knots over the past six hours. Animated enhanced infrared
satellite imagery shows the convection associated with tc 06s is
continuing to weaken. The initial position is based on a
200015z ssmis 91 ghz microwave image showing the remaining 
convection is located to the south and southwest of the low level 
circulation center (LLCC). The initial intensity of 45 knots is 
averaged between Dvorak current intensity (ci) estimates of t3.5 
(55 knots) from fmee, t3.0 (45 knots) from knes and t2.5 (35 knots) 
from pgtw. Upper level analysis shows moderate vertical wind shear 
(15 to 20 knots) and a strong poleward outflow channel. Tc 06s is 
beginning to track over unfavorable sea surface temperatures, near 
25 degrees celsius. Tc 06s is tracking south-southwestward along 
the northwest periphery of a subtropical ridge (str) located to the 
southeast. Tc 06s will continue to track south-southwestward 
through tau 12 and then track southeastward as it rounds the str. 
The intensity will remain at 45 knots through tau 24 and decrease 
to 40 knots by tau 36. Tc 06s will begin extra-tropical transition 
(ett) by tau 12 and will complete ett by tau 36. Dynamic model 
guidance is in good agreement, therefore, there is high confidence 
in the jtwc forecast track. Maximum significant wave height at 
200000z is 15 feet. Next warnings at 200900z, 201500z, 202100z and 
210300z.//
Nnnn

Learn more about Tropical Cyclone Berguitta and the 2018 South Indian Ocean hurricane season in our hurricane archive.

View All Hurricanes and Tropical Cyclones


Storm Track Statistics

Date Time Lat Lon Wind (mph) Pressure Storm Type
Jan 12 18 GMT -17 66.9 40 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 13 00 GMT -17.3 65.6 40 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 13 06 GMT -17.7 64.9 45 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 13 12 GMT -17.9 64.0 45 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 13 18 GMT -18.3 63.6 45 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 14 00 GMT -18.2 63.4 60 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 14 06 GMT -18.1 63.0 65 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 14 12 GMT -18.1 62.9 65 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 14 18 GMT -18 63.1 65 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 15 00 GMT -17.8 63.2 75 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 15 06 GMT -17.8 63.2 85 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 15 12 GMT -18 63.0 105 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 15 18 GMT -18.1 62.6 115 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 16 00 GMT -18.2 61.9 115 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 16 06 GMT -18 61.6 110 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 16 12 GMT -18.2 61.1 100 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 16 18 GMT -18.2 60.8 90 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 17 00 GMT -18.3 60.6 90 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 17 06 GMT -18.1 60.2 80 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 17 12 GMT -18.3 59.8 75 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 17 18 GMT -18.9 59.5 75 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 18 00 GMT -19.7 58.5 75 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 18 06 GMT -20.7 57.6 75 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 18 12 GMT -21.5 56.6 75 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 18 18 GMT -22.4 54.8 70 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 19 00 GMT -22.8 54.2 65 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 19 06 GMT -23.8 53.4 65 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 19 12 GMT -25 52.7 60 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 19 18 GMT -26.6 51.2 60 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 20 00 GMT -27.9 50.3 50 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 12 18 GMT -17 66.9 40 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 13 00 GMT -17.3 65.6 40 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 13 06 GMT -17.7 64.9 45 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 13 12 GMT -17.9 64.0 45 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 13 18 GMT -18.3 63.6 45 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 14 00 GMT -18.2 63.4 60 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 14 06 GMT -18.1 63.0 65 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 14 12 GMT -18.1 62.9 65 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 14 18 GMT -18 63.1 65 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 15 00 GMT -17.8 63.2 75 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 15 06 GMT -17.8 63.2 85 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 15 12 GMT -18 63.0 105 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 15 18 GMT -18.1 62.6 115 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 16 00 GMT -18.2 61.9 115 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 16 06 GMT -18 61.6 110 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 16 12 GMT -18.2 61.1 100 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 16 18 GMT -18.2 60.8 90 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 17 00 GMT -18.3 60.6 90 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 17 06 GMT -18.1 60.2 80 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 17 12 GMT -18.3 59.8 75 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 17 18 GMT -18.9 59.5 75 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 18 00 GMT -19.7 58.5 75 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 18 06 GMT -20.7 57.6 75 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 18 12 GMT -21.5 56.6 75 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 18 18 GMT -22.4 54.8 70 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 19 00 GMT -22.8 54.2 65 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 19 06 GMT -23.8 53.4 65 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 19 12 GMT -25 52.7 60 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 19 18 GMT -26.6 51.2 60 -- Tropical Cyclone
Jan 20 00 GMT -27.9 50.3 50 -- Tropical Cyclone

Category 6

Welcome to Category 6. This is the collective home for Weather Underground's featured writeups by Dr. Jeff Masters (right), Bob Henson (left), Chris Burt, and other regular contributors.

Learn more about Tropical Cyclone Berguitta and the 2018 South Indian Ocean hurricane season in our hurricane archive.

View All Hurricanes and Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Archive

All Atlantic Storms (1851-2018)

Named Storms for 2016

Historical Hurricane Statistics


Articles of Interest