New Orleans Weather Blog

NEXT!

By: SevereHurricane, 7:42 AM GMT on March 15, 2009

Current Activity


Courtesy of The National Hurricane Center.
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My Tropical Activity Analysis:

Good Morning Everyone,
Looking at Satellite and Radar Imagery it is apparent that cyclogenesis is occurring just off the North Carolina/West Virginia Coast this morning, but is is not Tropical in nature. However, just because this Low is not a Tropical Cyclone doesn't necessarily mean that there will be not any impact's. In this case there will be impact's, and they are in the North East. Since the Low is now forecasted to Track into New England instead of off the coast the flood risk has gone up as it will interact with a Stalled Front over New England and consequently cause Heavy Rainfall. Rainfall totals of 1-2 Inches are expected in Western Connecticut and Massachusetts with the possibility of isolated totals exceeding 3 Inches in Rhode Island, and Eastern area's of Massachusetts and Connecticut. Even though rain is going to be a problem wind really won't be, at worst wind's may gust to 25 MPH in the aforementioned area's.

Otherwise the Atlantic is quiet and I do not expect Tropical Cyclone Formation to occur in the next 48 Hours.
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My Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast:

10-12 Named Storms
3-5 Hurricanes
2-3 Major Hurricanes

"It only take's one..."

*This forecast is subject to change.
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So Far This Year:
Named Storms:0
Hurricanes:0
Major Hurricanes:0
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2009 Names and What Happened:
Ana
Bill
Claudette
Danny
Erika
Fred
Grace
Henri
Ida
Joaquin
Kate
Larry
Mindy
Nicholas
Odette
Peter
Rose
Sam
Teresa
Victor
Wanda

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National Hurricane Center Daily Product's

NHC Tropical Weather Outlook---------------> HERE

NHC Tropical Weather Discussion--------------->HERE


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Atlantic Basin Hurricane Maps/Data:

















MORE SATELLITE IMAGES
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Numerical and Tropical Cyclone Forecast Models

Numerical Models
GFS MODEL
NAM MODEL
GEFS MODEL
WW3 MODEL
NGM MODEL


Tropical Models

GFDL MODEL
HWRF MODEL


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About SevereHurricane

Dylan's the name and I am from New Orleans.I'm 15 Year's old and have a passion in Meteorology. I will try to update my blog daily.

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