State of the Climate Report: Warm and Warmer (except for eastern North America)

By: Bob Henson , 8:51 PM GMT on July 17, 2015

Although the tropical Atlantic is heating up slightly with the appearance of a Cape Verde wave (see this morning’s tropical roundup post), we also have some toasty news on the national and global front. With our planet showing more and more symptoms of running a fever, the annual State of the Climate reports make for compelling lab results that confirm the diagnosis. This year’s State of the Climate report was released on Thursday as part of the July issue of the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. Like a mini-IPCC assessment, this year’s annual report--compiled by NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information--involved 413 authors and 17 editors from 58 countries who reviewed and synthesized a vast body of data on what’s happened to our Earth system in the past year, from greenhouse gas increases to sea level rise.

The 2014 State of the Climate report makes it plain that last year was a landmark in global warming. The record high in globally averaged temperature (a mark almost certain to be topped in 2015) got plenty of press, but other records were set as well:

• Carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide—three of the most important human-produced greenhouse gases—all reached their highest global concentrations since records have been kept.

• More than 20 nations reported their warmest year on record, as did the continent of Europe. The only large land area with below-average temperatures for the year (apart from western Siberia) was eastern North America.

• Sea surface temperatures and global sea level both reached record highs, continuing the trends of recent years.

• The extent of summertime Arctic sea ice remained well below its 1980s – 1990s average, though the ice loss in 2014 was less dramatic than in several years of the past decade. Meanwhile, Antarctic sea ice set new monthly extent records in each month from April to November, and the single largest extent on record was observed on September 20. It’s important to note that this wintertime ice growth around Antarctica has much less effect on climate than the summertime loss in the Arctic, largely because the Arctic loss occurs when more sunshine has a chance to be absorbed by open water.

More highlights from the report can be found in a NOAA news release and in the report itself.

Warmest June nights on record for contiguous U.S.
NOAA’s summary of June climate, also released on Thursday, revealed that last month was the second warmest June across the 48 contiguous states, beaten only by June 1933. And nighttime didn’t offer much relief.


Figure 2. Daily minimum temperatures averaged across the contiguous U.S. for June soared well above the previous record, set in 2010, and more than 1°F above any other year in records extending back to 1895. Image credit: NOAA/NCEI.


Figure 3. State-by-state rankings of temperature (top) and precipitation (bottom) for June 2015. Image credit: NOAA/NCEI.


Averaged across the nation, last month saw the warmest minimum temperatures of any June on record (see Figure 2). In Cheyenne, Wyoming, each night during the entire month saw a low temperature above the norm. June’s balmy nights were largely a result of the cloudiness and rich low-level moisture that prevailed over much of the country, keeping lows from dipping to their usual values. In the western U.S., scorching days accompanied the warm nights: more than 150 western cities broke all-time record highs for June. The states of California, Oregon, Washington, Idaho, and Utah all notched their warmest Junes on record (Figure 3). This Climate Central analysis will show you how much your own state’s summer nights have warmed in the last few decades.

June was also very damp across much of the country (see Figure 2). The Midwestern triad of Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio all experienced their wettest Junes on record; Illinois had its all-time second-wettest month (9.30”, behind only the 9.62” of September 1926). The downpours put a damper on agriculture, with many plantings delayed or compromised. Up to 5 percent of Indiana’s corn and soybean production was lost in June. “We went from a well above-normal crop to a very discouraging, below-normal crop," said Purdue Extension economist Chris Hurt at a briefing on June 26. As of July 13, about a quarter of Indiana corn and soybean crops were rated as poor or very poor.


Figure 4. Cornfields across Jay County in eastern Indiana were doused with heavy rain during the week of June 22. Image credit: Purdue University Agricultural Communication photo/Darrin Pack.

Northeast stays relatively cool
Missing out on the heat in June were Michigan and northern New England, where temperatures ran well below average for the month. As one might expect with plenty of clouds and rain, some states had an unusually compressed temperature range. In Pennsylvania, June’s average daily highs were the 37th coolest on the record, but the daily lows were the 7th warmest. Areas northeast of Pennsylvania are finding it especially tough to warm up this year, even with all the winter snow long gone. The first half of 2015 was among the top 20 coldest January-to-June periods on record for New York and all the New England states. This month, temperatures are running cooler than average across most of the country east of the Rockies, in keeping with the warm-west/cool-east pattern that’s been so persistent for the past year-plus. Meanwhile, the Pacific states continue to roast, including California, with this year to date warmer than all previous Jan-Jun periods in California, Oregon, Washington, and Nevada (see Figure 5).


Figure 5. Average temperatures across California for the period January through June 2015 topped the previous record for the first half of the calendar year, which had been set in 2014. Image credit: NOAA/NCEI.


Heat and drought across the Caribbean into South Florida
Along with the Pacific states, Florida is also cooking: the year to date is the fourth warmest on record for the Sunshine State. In particular, South Florida and the Caribbean have been extremely hot and dry. It was the driest June in 81 years of recordkeeping in Stuart, Florida, and in 110 years of records at Coloso, Puerto Rico. Strict water rationing is now in effect across eastern Puerto Rico: in one location, water is turned off for 48 hours and then on for 24 hours. According to the NWS office in San Juan, El Niño tends to bring the north Caribbean ample moisture during the normally dry months of winter and spring, but below-average rainfall from May through November.

I’ll have a special report this weekend on progress in severe weather modeling and prediction. Jeff Masters and I will both be back on board next week. Have a great start to your weekend!

Bob Henson



The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

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367. stormpetrol
8:56 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
366. rayduray2013
6:50 PM GMT on July 18, 2015

Quoting 344. Kenfa03:


I'm not qualified to determine the real side from the fake side. That's the reason I like reading both sides.
Kenfa,

Do yourself a favor. Take some basic courses in climate science. You'll find that the fake side gets shredded the instant you begin to understand the actual science. If classwork is not something you can pursue, you should start with something like the Skeptical Science Newbie's Pages. They really can help you to up your game and avoid embarrassing yourself with being a regurgitator of the lies, prevarications and distortions promoted by the fossil fuel industry.

Keep in mind, the "denier" meme is dying. Or committing suicide, as indicated by the eye-opening review of corporate deceit.


Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
365. Neapolitan
6:34 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Quoting 344. Kenfa03:


I'm not qualified to determine the real side from the fake side. That's the reason I like reading both sides.
If you're not entirely sure how to tell truth from BS, the biggest disservice you can do yourself is to assume both 'sides' are equal and go from there. In every field, there are experts, and there are charlatans, and just as you wouldn't gamble your health by placing the medical opinion of a heart surgeon on a par with the mutterings of the self-described psychic next door, you shouldn't listen to the phonies and the liars. And where climate science is concerned, it's easy to spot who is who: those who acknowledge that the planet is warming due to our burning of fossil fuels and that something must be done about it are okay to listen to; anyone who tells you otherwise is best ignored.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
364. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
6:33 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
363. AdamReith
6:32 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Quoting 344. Kenfa03:


I'm not qualified to determine the real side from the fake side. That's the reason I like reading both sides.
It's actually very easy to tell, usually.

The one claiming NOAA or NASA or the NAS or the world of science in general is cooking the books? That'll be your fake side, every time.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
362. Barefootontherocks
6:32 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Don't know if this got posted here or not, but it is weather related and may bring some caution to some of you, especially one member who got a speeding ticket in May for going 95mph in/near Boise City OK and laughed about it in his/her blog.

Experienced Stormchaser runs stop sign; two dead
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
361. HurricaneHunterJoe
6:31 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Rain totals from monsoon/Delores starting to add up as of 10:30 Pacific time, seems everybody getting a little something anyway. Keep that moisture coming Delores! Delores still 1000 miles away and weakening....gotta love that tropical moisture.


SRUS46 KSGX 181751 CCA
RRMSGX

PRELIMINARY STORM PRECIPITATION TOTALS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO
1030 AM PDT SATURDAY JUL 18 2015


_______24-HOUR PRECIPITATION TOTALS AS OF 1030 AM SATURDAY_______


.TOP RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM ALL ZONES

STATION PRECIP(IN) MILES/DIRECTION FROM

1. CRAFTON RESERVOIR 0.71 2E REDLANDS
2. THERMAL AIRPORT 0.58 1W THERMAL
3. POPPET FLAT RAWS 0.46 4S BANNING
MILL CREEK EAST 0.46
5. RAMONA AIRPORT 0.45 2W RAMONA
SKY OAKS 0.45
7. WARNER SPRINGS 0.44
CITY CREEK RANGER STA 0.44 4SW RUNNING SPRINGS
9. DE LUZ 0.43
10.YUCAIPA RIDGE 0.40 2ESE FOREST FALLS


.SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS

STATION PRECIP(IN) ELEV(FT) DISTANCE(MI)
KEARNY MESA 0.07 455 6NNW SAN DIEGO
ENCINITAS 0.04 242 0 ENCINITAS
SAN ONOFRE 0.02 162 7NNW OCEANSIDE
OCEANSIDE 0.02 30 1N OCEANSIDE
CARLSBAD AIRPORT 0.02 357 3SE CARLSBAD
LAS FLORES RAWS 0.02 100 9NW OCEANSIDE
MONTGOMERY FIELD 0.01 423 6NNW SAN DIEGO
LINDBERGH FIELD T 13


.SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS

STATION PRECIP(IN) ELEV(FT) DISTANCE(MI)
CAMP TRGT RANGE RAWS 0.28 917 7W FALLBROOK
MT. WOODSON 0.23 1720 4NW POWAY
GOOSE VALLEY RAWS 0.19 1530 2NNW RAMONA
SANDIA CK RD 0.16 342 1NE FALLBROOK
RINCON SPRINGS 0.16 970 5NE VALLEY CENTER
VALLEY CENTER 0.16 1295 0 VALLEY CENTER
SKYLINE RANCH 0.16 562 2E VALLEY CENTER
LAKE WOHLFORD 0.16 1490 1SE VALLEY CENTER
RANCHO BERNARDO 0.15 690 0 SGX OFFICE
VALLEY CENTER RAWS 0.15 1370 1ENE VALLEY CENTER
PARADISE CREEK 0.12 950 3ENE VALLEY CENTER
ESCONDIDO 0.11 640 0 ESCONDIDO
RAINBOW CAMP 0.08 1553 2S TEMECULA
RAMONA 0.08 1420 0 RAMONA
DEER SPRINGS 0.08 1000 1SE ESCONDIDO
COLE GRADE RD 0.08 750 5N JULIAN
LOWER OAT FLATS 0.07 2239 5N JULIAN
MIRAMAR LAKE 0.05 130 3ESE MIRA MESA
FALLBROOK 0.04 675 1S FALLBROOK
BARONA 0.04 1280 3SSE RAMONA
SANTEE 0.04 300 2W SANTEE
COUSER CANYON 0.04 285 1WSW VALLEY CENTER
LA MESA 0.04 530 0 LA MESA
SAN MIGUEL RAWS 0.02 425 7SSE LA MESA


.SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS

STATION PRECIP(IN) ELEV(FT) DISTANCE(MI)
WARNER SPRINGS 0.44 3040
PALOMAR CRS 0.32 2SW PALOMAR MT
BIRCH HILL 0.32 5645 2SSW PALOMAR MT
OAK GROVE RAWS 0.22 2770 2NE PALOMAR MT
PALOMAR MOUNTAIN RAWS 0.17 5530 0 PALOMAR MT
VALLECITOS REPEATER 0.16 2945 6ENE VALLEY CENTER
RANCHITA RAWS 0.16 4180 5WSW BORREGO SPR
LA JOLLA AMAGO 0.15 2400 9ENE VALLEY CENTER
PALOMAR OBSERVATORY 0.14 5560 0 PALOMAR MT
LA JOLLA ERN TANKS 0.12 3000 3SSW PALOMAR MT
HENSHAW DAM 0.12 2750 0 LAKE HENSHAW
MESA GRANDE 0.12 3204
RANCHITA 0.08 4008 6WSW BORREGO SPR
VOLCAN MOUNTAIN 0.04 5410
JULIAN 0.04 4230 1E JULIAN
MT LAGUNA 0.04 6000 0 MT LAGUNA
MOUNT LAGUNA RAWS 0.03 5760 2N PINE VALLEY
JULIAN RAWS 0.01 4240 0 JULIAN


.SAN DIEGO COUNTY DESERTS

STATION PRECIP(IN) ELEV(FT) DISTANCE(MI)
COYOTE CK 0.17 1189
BORREGO PALM CANYON 0.10 790 1NW BORREGO SPR
BORREGO SPRINGS 0.08 500 2ESE BORREGO SPR
OCOTILLO WELLS 0.05 425 10SE BORRO SPR


.ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS

STATION PRECIP(IN) ELEV(FT) DISTANCE(MI)
SEGUNDA DESHECA 0.01 85 1NW SAN CLEMENTE


.SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS

STATION PRECIP(IN) ELEV(FT) DISTANCE(MI)
SANTA ROSA PLATEAU 0.23 1980 2SSW MURRIETA
SYLVAN MEADOWS 0.16 1892 3WSW MURRIETA
EL CARISO RAWS 0.04 2660 1SW LAKE ELSINORE


.RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE

STATION PRECIP(IN) ELEV(FT) DISTANCE(MI)
HEMET/RYAN FIELD 0.39 1510 1WSW HEMET
GILMAN HOT SPRINGS 0.39 1511 4NE PERRIS
TEMECULA 0.24 1180 0 TEMECULA
FRENCH VALLEY AIRPORT 0.20 909 5NNE TEMECULA
PORTRERO CANYON 0.16 2220 1W FULLERTON
MORENO-CLARK 0.16 1810 1E MORENO VALLEY
CRANSTON RAWS 0.15 1950 6E HEMET
SKINNER LAKE 0.12 1700 4NE TEMECULA
BEAUMONT 0.12 2624 0 BEAUMONT
MURRIETA CK AT TENAJA 0.12 1100 0 MURRIETA
WOODCREST DAM 0.08 861 2S RIVERSIDE
RIVERSIDE SOUTH 0.04 875 0 RIVERSIDE
VAIL LAKE 0.04 1470 9E TEMECULA
RIVERSIDE AIRPORT 0.03 847 1W RIVERSIDE
BEAUMONT RAWS 0.02 2680 1E BEAUMONT


.RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS

STATION PRECIP(IN) ELEV(FT) DISTANCE(MI)
POPPET FLAT RAWS 0.46 3830 4S BANNING
SNOW CK 7N IDYLLWILD 0.27 6800 3N SAN JACINTO PK
VISTA GRANDE 0.24 4939 6SE BANNING
ALLANDALE 0.20 5800 3NE IDYLLWILD
MOUNT SAN JACINTO 0.20 8616 1ENE MT SAN JAC PK
VISTA GRANDE RAWS 0.19 4700 6WNW SAN JACINTO PK
KEENWILD RAWS 0.16 4920 6SW IDYLLWILD
BANNING BENCH 0.12 3619 5NE BEAUMONT
TICK RIDGE 0.12 4236 4NNW CABAZON
SAGE RAWS 0.10 2560 9SSE HEMET
LIVE OAK CANYON 0.08 6000 10SW IDYLLWILD
PINYON PINES RAWS 0.07 4060 1S PINYON PINES


.COACHELLA VALLEY

STATION PRECIP(IN) ELEV(FT) DISTANCE(MI)
THERMAL AIRPORT 0.58 -118 1W THERMAL
KENT SEA FMS 3S MECCA 0.16 -205 3S MECCA
DEAD INDIAN BASIN 0.12 1050 20E INDO
MORONGO VALLEY 4SSW 0.08 2400 4SSW MORONGO VALLEY
PALM SPRINGS AIRPORT 0.08 425 IE PALMS SPRINGS
PALM DESERT 1S 0.08 440 1S PALM DESERT
BEAR CREEK 0.08 60 1N LA QUINTA
INDIO 0.08 -15 1NNE INDIO
CATHEDRAL CANYON 0.05 605 1W CATHEDRAL CITY
WHITEWATER TROUT FARM 0.04 2200 6WNW DRT HOT SPRINGS
DESERT HOT SPRINGS 0.04 1228 1N DESERT HOT SPRINGS
LOWER TAHQUITZ CREEK 0.04 560 1SW PALM SPRINGS
GOLF CLUB DR. PS 0.04 330 2SE PALM SPRINGS
PALM CANYON CREEK 0.04 700 6S PALM SPRINGS
INDIO HILLS 9N 0.04 1125 5NW THOUGHSAND PALMS


.SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE

STATION PRECIP(IN) ELEV(FT) DISTANCE(MI)
CRAFTON RESERVOIR 0.71 2000 2E REDLANDS
PLUNGE CREEK CANYON 0.35 1590 3E HIGHLAND
SAN BERNARDINO CO YRD 0.31 1033 1E SAN BERNARDINO
HEMLOCK BURN 0.31 2280
GILBERT ST NR SBD 0.28 1120 2NE SAN BERNARDINO
ELDER GULCH 0.28 2933 3ENE HIGHLAND
HIGHLAND PLUNGE CREEK 0.28 1911 4ESE HIGHLAND
RIALTO AIRPORT 0.24 1418 0 RIALTO
RIALTO FIRE STATION 0.23 1211 0 RIALTO
RECHE CANYON 0.19 1021 2W LOMA LINDA
SMALL CANYON DAM 0.19 1810 2N HIGHLAND
WILSON CREEK 0.19 2235 5ESE REDLANDS
YUCAIPA REGIONAL 0.16 2620 6E REDLANDS
ELDER CREEK 0.15 1649 2E HIGHLAND
SAN SEVAINE SPRDG GRD 0.08 1938 5NW FONTANA
CAL ST SAN BERNARDINO 0.08 1556 5NNW SAN BERNARDINO
DALEY SPUR 0.08 2680 5S CRESTLINE
CABAZON RAWS 0.05 2155 1NW CABAZON
LITTLE CHINO CK 0.04 646 1SW CHINO


.SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS

STATION PRECIP(IN) ELEV(FT) DISTANCE(MI)
CITY CREEK RANGER STA 0.44 2647 4SW RUNNING SPRINGS
YUCAIPA RIDGE 0.40 9020 2ESE FOREST FALLS
MANZANITA FLATS 0.39 3920 3ENE ANGELUS OAKS
OAK CREEK CANYON 0.32 3676 3NNE REDLAND AIRPORT
ERRY CREEK 0.30 2986
CONVERSE RAWS 0.30 5200 5NE ANGELUS OAKS
CEDAR GLEN 0.27 5317 4ESE LAKE ARROWHEAD
FAWNSKIN RAWS 0.26 6903 1N BIG BEAR LAKE
RAYWOOD FLATS 0.19 7097 3ESE SAN GOR MTN
PANORAMA POINT 0.19 3887 7WSW LAKE ARROWHEAD
HEART BAR 0.18 6690 8SE BIG BEAR LAKE
OAK GLEN FIRE 0.15 4664 3E YUCAIPA
BAILY CANYON 0.12 3388 3E DEVORE
WILDWOOD CANYON 0.12 2946 5NNE BEAUMONT
CREST PARK 0.11 5624 6WSW LAKE ARROWHEAD
OAK GLEN WATERSHED 0.11 4923 8NNE BEAUMONT
DEEP CREEK 0.08 4839 2NE LAKE ARROWHEAD
BIG PINE FLAT RAWS 0.02 6908 4NW BIG BEAR LAKE


.APPLE AND LUCERNE VALLEYS

STATION PRECIP(IN) ELEV(FT) DISTANCE(MI)
MOJAVE FORKS DAM 0.07 2449
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
360. Tazmanian
6:28 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
guys there is no more 93L 93L has been drop
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
359. JNFlori30A
6:28 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Quoting 349. BayFog:

Nice push of monsoonal moisture into SoCal this AM, surging between the Gulf Coast ridge and Dolores, enhanced by a midlevel low off of Point Conception and a trough dropping into the Great Basin. The action will be shifting slowly northward toward the SF Bay Area and the Sierras through Monday. Coastal SSTs remain near 60.
Let's just hope that the rain to lightening ratio is positive!
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
358. PedleyCA
6:26 PM GMT on July 18, 2015

Puny amount here, HHJoe did much better. They are forecasting 3 more periods of rain.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
357. AdamReith
6:26 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Quoting 303. leofarnsworth:

My reason for reaching out to you is strictly to discuss the manner with which you put forward your points of view. For whatever reason, and maybe I'm wrong, or maybe you just don't realize it, but you're very very nasty how you put forth your point of view. Being 100% correct does that mean that somebody can be 100% nasty rebutting or correcting other people.
C'mon, "100% nasty" is a deliberate exaggeration. Anyway, AGW "skeptics." who spread long-debunked misinformation get the tone of response they deserve--often better than they deserve.


Since my only, only point was the manner in which you put forward your points of view, I will not discuss AGW with you...
It's pretty obvious from the rest of your comment you haven't bothered to dig much into the science behind the subject, so this is not surprising. At least you are aware you don't know enough to discuss the subject intelligently. That puts you intellectually above most deniers.


...because I really don't care.
Then why bother? Your comment amounts to just tone trolling, doesn't it?

[snip]
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
356. washingtonian115
6:24 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
314. Gearsts
Which is why I'll continue to be on the lookout.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
355. PedleyCA
6:21 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Quoting 349. BayFog:

Nice push of monsoonal moisture into SoCal this AM, surging between the Gulf Coast ridge and Dolores, enhanced by a midlevel low off of Point Conception and a trough dropping into the Great Basin. The action will be shifting slowly northward toward the SF Bay Area and the Sierras through Monday. Coastal SSTs remain near 60.

Got another brief rain event about 10:00AM which was harder than the first, big drops, every bit helps.
The plumber working under the side of my house didn't much appreciate it though.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
354. ColoradoBob1
6:19 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
350. BayFog -

Yep, lots of artifacts found at Chaco from central Mexico, parrot feathers, obsidian, etc. They certainly knew of the place.

After two centuries of migration and warfare, the Aztecs finally settle within the area now covered by Mexico City. They choose an uninhabited island in Lake Tetzcoco. This is either in the year 1325 or, more probably, 1345.


Read more: Link
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
353. wunderkidcayman
6:18 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
also mentioning that 93L's low level vort has increased in size



Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
352. wunderkidcayman
6:03 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Quoting 348. hydrus:

Hello..723..If memory serves, there have been quite a few..I dont have time to pull them up..The 70,s may have had a few.


yep and also wasnt there a storm that starting in the Epac and ended up into the Wpac
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
351. Tazmanian
6:01 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Quoting 315. GeoffreyWPB:

93L...





ex 93L
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
350. BayFog
5:57 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
This is also about the time the Mexicas first moved into the Valley of Mexico from the north. Probably behind a lot of migrations worldwide about that time. Might have even had a hand in the Black Death by disrupting normal wildlife patterns across the Eurasian steppes.
Quoting 345. ColoradoBob1:

337. JohnLonergan

From your link -

Here we present precisely dated records of ice-cap growth from Arctic Canada and Iceland showing that LIA summer cold and ice growth began abruptly between 1275 and 1300 AD,

280. Xandra
2:47 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Volcanic eruptions that changed human history

Thanks for fetching this one , saved me the trip.

Been looking at that graph more closely , The # 2 most powerful eruption came in 1257 preceded by less than a decade of a third tier eruption. In fact there's a whole cluster between 1100, and 1257. What was going on at this time ?

The Abandonment of Chaco Canyon, the Mesa Verde . Chaco Canyon in 1150, and Mesa Verde around 1276.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
349. BayFog
5:52 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Nice push of monsoonal moisture into SoCal this AM, surging between the Gulf Coast ridge and Dolores, enhanced by a midlevel low off of Point Conception and a trough dropping into the Great Basin. The action will be shifting slowly northward toward the SF Bay Area and the Sierras through Monday. Coastal SSTs remain near 60.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
348. hydrus
5:48 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Quoting 347. wxgeek723:

Bizarre, I don't know of any Central Pacific system that went on to threaten Japan

Hello..723..If memory serves, there have been quite a few..I dont have time to pull them up..The 70,s may have had a few.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
347. wxgeek723
5:46 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Bizarre, I don't know of any Central Pacific system that went on to threaten Japan
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
346. AdamReith
5:45 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Quoting 256. Neapolitan:

...Which makes this past week's announcement for my county look particularly--in fact, ludicrously--short-sighted:

Plans moving ahead for new town in eastern Collier County

Big plans are in the works for a brand new town in eastern Collier County. Long term plans include 10,000 homes, a school, healthcare facilities and its own downtown center....In fact, it's the home of Florida Gov. Rick "Don't mention climate change or you're fired" Scott.
Deliberate blindness. Unrestrained greed. Madness.

So it's no surprise that the area's "planners" say that this planned development is "going to redefine that whole eastern area of Collier County", while altogether ignoring the fact that rising sea levels are going to do a hell of a lot more "redefining".

SMH...
Hah! Indeed.

Where scientists see a coming catastrophe, these benign denialists see only dollar signs.
They will have made their money and be long gone when the water-logged chickens come home to roost.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
345. ColoradoBob1
5:45 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
337. JohnLonergan

From your link -

Here we present precisely dated records of ice-cap growth from Arctic Canada and Iceland showing that LIA summer cold and ice growth began abruptly between 1275 and 1300 AD,

280. Xandra
2:47 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Volcanic eruptions that changed human history

Thanks for fetching this one , saved me the trip.

Been looking at that graph more closely , The # 2 most powerful eruption came in 1257 preceded by less than a decade of a third tier eruption. In fact there's a whole cluster between 1100, and 1257. What was going on at this time ?

The Abandonment of Chaco Canyon, the Mesa Verde . Chaco Canyon in 1150, and Mesa Verde around 1276.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
344. Kenfa03
5:43 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Quoting 339. AdamReith:

Quoting 207. swflurker:

REALLY? TRIPLE FLAG!!!!!!!

The real side and the fake side, right? Because, scientifically speaking, that's what we see in comment threads.
Quoting 339. AdamReith:

Quoting 207. swflurker:

REALLY? TRIPLE FLAG!!!!!!!

The real side and the fake side, right? Because, scientifically speaking, that's what we see in comment threads.

I'm not qualified to determine the real side from the fake side. That's the reason I like reading both sides.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
343. wunderkidcayman
5:43 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Quoting 340. Climate175:

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT JUL 18 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next five
days.

$$
Forecaster Beven
NNNN


not surprised

we wait and watch to see if it makes a comeback
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
342. txjac
5:42 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Quoting 323. ColoradoBob1:

303. leofarnsworth

Some recent headlines -

Internal Documents Show Fossil Fuel Industry Has Been Aware of Climate Change for Decades

Exxon knew of climate change in 1981, email says – but it funded deniers for 27 more years


The Evidence For How Fossil Fuel Companies Misled Us For Decades


I'm supposed to be "nice" in the face of this ?


Then you shouldnt be "nice" to all those that are telling us to reduce our own carbon footprints, and I know that many on here have. Still irks me when our President used lots of evil oil to fly to Florida to give a speech on Climate Change. All of our politicians are pretty much corrupt ...do as I say, not as I do ...but as long as they are "saying" the right things then no one questions them about their own liability.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
341. wunderkidcayman
5:35 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
current and past 12hrs




12-48hrs


Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
340. Climate175
5:35 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT JUL 18 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next five
days.

$$
Forecaster Beven
NNNN
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
339. AdamReith
5:33 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Quoting 207. swflurker:

REALLY? TRIPLE FLAG!!!!!!!

Quoting 231. Kenfa03:


Why triple flag? I like reading both sides of the debate.
The real side and the fake side, right? Because, scientifically speaking, that's what we see in comment threads.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
338. hurricanes2018
5:30 PM GMT on July 18, 2015


i see two lows here!
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
337. JohnLonergan
5:30 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Quoting 282. hydrus:

Your post about the Maunder Minimum is decent. I think your wrong about volcanic activity and the climate. One single volcanic eruption in 1991 ( Mount Pinatubo )...Nevermind the mass eruptions of the past or supervolcanoes... Except from WIKI and the link

.

This very large stratospheric injection resulted in a reduction in the normal amount of sunlight reaching the Earth's surface by roughly 10% . This led to a decrease in northern hemisphere average temperatures of 0.5%u20130.6 %uFFFDC (0.9%u20131.1 %uFFFDF) and a global fall of about 0.4 %uFFFDC (0.7 %uFFFDF). At the same time, the temperature in the stratosphere rose to several degrees higher than normal, due to absorption of radiation by the aerosol. The stratospheric cloud from the eruption persisted in the atmosphere for three years after the eruption. While not directly responsible, the eruption may have played a part in the formation of the 1993 Storm of the Century.....Link


Abrupt onset of the Little Ice Age triggered by volcanism and sustained by sea-ice/ocean feedbacks

Excerpt:

Our results suggest that the onset of the LIA can be linked to an unusual 50-year-long episode with four large sulfur-rich explosive eruptions, each with global sulfate loading >60 Tg. The persistence of cold summers is best explained by consequent sea-ice/ocean feedbacks during a hemispheric summer insolation minimum; large changes in solar irradiance are not required.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
336. Climate175
5:30 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
335. HurricaneAndre
5:29 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Sar I'm glad you came out of your surgery. God is the ultimate healer and glad to have you back.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
334. tiggerhurricanes2001
5:28 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Hmmm. Very interesting.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
333. hurricanes2018
5:28 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
332. wunderkidcayman
5:27 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Quoting 321. Gearsts:




you leave Nathan Fillion/ Richard Castel out of this
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
331. hurricanes2018
5:26 PM GMT on July 18, 2015


I am watching 32 west 9 north right now
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
330. stuff9
5:24 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Thank you,Mr. Henson.
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329. hurricanes2018
5:23 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
NICE TROPICAL WAVE BACK OF INVEST 93L
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
328. tampabaymatt
5:22 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Sar, I'm very sorry to hear of your bad experience with the surgery. Congrats on making it out and glad to have you back!
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
327. hurricanes2018
5:22 PM GMT on July 18, 2015


invest 99E IS HERE
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
326. tampabaymatt
5:20 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
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325. HurricaneHunterJoe
5:14 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Quoting 298. Patrap:

Ohm, ohm, .....Ahh, ah, ahhh, ah, ahhhhh'





Down boy.......Down
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
324. Climate175
5:08 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Remember October looked like this last year.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
323. ColoradoBob1
5:05 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
303. leofarnsworth

Some recent headlines -

Internal Documents Show Fossil Fuel Industry Has Been Aware of Climate Change for Decades

Exxon knew of climate change in 1981, email says – but it funded deniers for 27 more years


The Evidence For How Fossil Fuel Companies Misled Us For Decades


I'm supposed to be "nice" in the face of this ?
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
322. Gearsts
5:00 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
321. Gearsts
4:57 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Quoting 318. wunderkidcayman:


who said anything about developing into anything at this point its just about survival


Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
320. Climate175
4:56 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Good thing we had that rain this morning, before the oppressive heat begins to settle in.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
319. HurricaneHunterJoe
4:55 PM GMT on July 18, 2015


A combination of regular monsoon and tropical moisture from Delores with a little upper level instability are firing some thunder showers in San Diego County. Rain amounts of about .10-.30 thus far and scattered with more scheduled for today and tomorrow. Then another trof with below normal temps for next week.........Im loving summer so far!
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
318. wunderkidcayman
4:53 PM GMT on July 18, 2015
Quoting 316. Gearsts:

Look, i really would like 93l to develop more than anyone else here but sadly is not the time yet to be looking at the MDR for development, she has everything going against her. Don't worry because soon you will have something to track in your area or in our area i hope. :)

who said anything about developing into anything at this point its just about survival

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
317. rayduray2013
4:48 PM GMT on July 18, 2015

Quoting 299. sar2401:

Wow! Quite a story. She was very lucky to survive and be able to hike out. I'm familiar with Mazama, and that place is some kind of magnet for plane crashes. Must be the local weather conditions. We had three pilots from my county go down up there, and I flew up twice after interviewing relatives. That's some rugged territory. I'm a little disappointed n the dispatcher though. Not knowing her mental state, he should have kept her on the phone until a unit arrived.
Yeah, the local weather conditions in the North Cascades often includes rocks in the low clouds. This is a classic case of the granddad violating the rules about flying blind into cloud cover. As to the distress call and the dispatcher, well, that also seems to be an example of standard operating procedure being casually disregarded. Luckily the 16 year old girl will have one harrowing tale to tell her grandkids. She won't need the Grimm Brothers, a'tall. :)
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Cat 6 lead authors: WU cofounder Dr. Jeff Masters (right), who flew w/NOAA Hurricane Hunters 1986-1990, & WU meteorologist Bob Henson, @bhensonweather