Germany Breaks its All-Time Heat Record

By: Jeff Masters , 4:24 AM GMT on July 06, 2015

Germany broke its all-time heat record on Sunday July 5, when the mercury soared to 104.5°F (40.3°C) at the official Kitzingen station in Bavaria. According to the German weather service's Facebook page, the record is now confirmed as official. The previous official national heat record recognized by the German meteorological agency (DWD) was 104.4°F (40.2°C), set in July 1983 and matched in August 2003. Numerous cities in Germany set all-time heat records over the weekend, including Saturday's 100.2°F (37.9°C ) reading at Berlin's Dahlem station, which has a very long period of record going back to 1876. Frankfurt beat its all-time heat record on Sunday--both at the airport (38.8°C) and downtown (39.0°C). Thanks go to weather records researcher Maximiliano Herrera and Klimahaus' Michael Theusner for these stats. According to an analysis of DWD observing station data done by Dr. Theusner, 131 of 492 stations in Germany set an all-time heat record during the July 2 - 5 heat wave, and another 7 tied their previous record.


Figure 1. A young boy jumps from a 7.5 meter platform at a crowded outdoor pool during a record heat wave in Frankfurt, Germany, Friday, July 3, 2015. (AP Photo/Michael Probst)

More near-record heat on the way
Germany has joined four other nations that have set all-time July national heat records this month: the Netherlands, the U.K., Thailand, and Colombia. Intense heat will continue over portions of Europe the next three days, with more national July heat records at risk. The fiercest heat will be over Poland on Monday, over Germany, Switzerland, and Austria on Tuesday, then shift to Southeast Europe on Wednesday. High temperatures close to the highest values ever measured can be expected in all these locations. For reference:

Poland's all-time hottest temperature is 104.4°F (40.2°C), measured on July 29, 1921 at Proszkow.

Switzerland's all-time hottest temperature is 106.7°F (41.5°C), measured on August 11, 2003 at Grono.

Austria's all-time hottest temperature is 104.9°F (40.5°C), measured on August 8, 2013 at Bad Deutsch-Altenburg.

Liechtenstein's all-time hottest temperature is 99.3°F (37.4°C), measured on August 13, 2003 at Ruggel.

Andorra's all-time hottest temperature is 101.3°F (38.5°C), measured on July 16, 2005 at Andorra La Vella.

Climate Change Playing a Significant Role in 2015 European Heat Wave
According to a press release by Climate Central, an international team of scientists from Oxford University, KNMI, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, along with regional partners from CNRS and MeteoSwiss says it is virtually certain that climate change increased the likelihood of the ongoing heat wave stretching across much of Europe. The risk increased by a factor of two or more over a large part of Europe, and up to more than a factor of four in some of the hottest cities. For example, the 3-day heat wave over the past three days in Mannheim, Germany would have been a 1-in-100 year event around the year 1900. It is now likely to happen roughly 1 in 15 years, thanks to climate change. The results are a part of the developing field of “weather attribution” that uses observational weather and climate data, weather forecasts and climate models.

Jeff Masters


The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

Reader Comments

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500. Webberweather53
5:26 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Quoting 447. JustDucky251:



Scott

Although I find your constant hyping of El Nino tedious, at least you do back up your comments with data and not hype. In addition I think that someone who is as serious and diligent as yourself should get some respect. Please ignore those who are negative and stay positive.


You're joking right? Have you been paying any attention whatsoever to his commentary over the last few months, or days for that matter? If you call incessantly using uncorrected model data, regurgitating & bolding Eric Blake, Mike Ventrice, & Phil Klotzbach's tweets, & perpetuating only the most exceptional scenarios as "evidence"... I have to admit, it must be hard for him to stay positive given he's been purposely over-zealous with his ENSO predictions for almost 2 years straight & is forced to constantly move the goalposts.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
499. indianrivguy
4:32 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Quoting 484. islander101010:

im not talking little predators. there has been many sightings of great whites just offshore e.cen fl. my rookie theory is they come in for easy pickins. they are after released undersized cobia. cobia fight almost to the death so when they are thrown back in the ocean who knows how long they swim around in the daze. thats when the great white pounces his prey. the sharks have evolved


The northern lagoons lost 50 square miles of seagrass meadow across the last four years... habitat for more than 4 billion fish. Our offshore fishery is dependent.. especially in the winter upon those now missing fish. The mullet, pigfish and pinfish go out to the gulfstream and spawn.. now that those numbers are diminished, many believe the sharks are now patrolling for new food source, which leads to inlets and beaches.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
498. LongIslandBeaches
4:32 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Quoting 462. sar2401:

Most people who are serious and diligent will earn respect. If that's not what's happening, it's time to look at yourself, your body of knowledge, and your presentation to discover what's wrong. The problem is not with the rest of the world, it's you. The idea that you somehow "deserve" respect is both wrong and immature.


I'd like to blow this up and post it around my classroom.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
496. Barefootontherocks
4:24 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Oklahoma Rain
The storm line crossing OK last evening dissipated in the wee hours. Wishcasts notwithstanding and as forecasted by NWS, yesterday's highest rainfall totals are in Northern OK, especially NW OK. Will Rogers Airport, the official site for OKC weather, shows 0.57" of rainfall before the storms dissipated.


image credit: OK mesonet

Today's rain forecasts, through Thursday a.m. Flash flood watches are out for most of Oklahoma.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
495. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
4:22 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
JeffMasters has created a new entry.
493. georgevandenberghe
4:17 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Quoting 389. washingtonian115:

Nothing never repeats its self in the exact same manner.


There is a saying that history doesn't repeat itself exactly but it often rhymes.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
492. weathermanwannabe
4:16 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Quoting 489. psetas23:

Is it just me or is there sone thing trying to develop off the northern coast of bahamas


That is an upper level low spinning about; also notice the other one draped across the Gulf of Mexico with a squeeze play between the two:


Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
491. tampabaymatt
4:16 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Quoting 489. psetas23:

Is it just me or is there sone thing trying to develop off the northern coast of bahamas


That is a TUTT low. It won't develop into something tropical.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
490. Patrap
4:15 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
489. psetas23
4:13 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Is it just me or is there sone thing trying to develop off the northern coast of bahamas
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
488. georgevandenberghe
4:13 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Quoting 380. washingtonian115:

lol Viso I'm not crazy is just that the last Super el nino was not very friendly to some parts of the world back in 97.1996 was a wet year here in D.C and then 1997 brought more rain here.I haven't seen anything like it since then.



1997 turned very dry after late June in College Park. I was too busy to keep watering my rental garden
and just lost most of the stuff that year.

Winter 1997-98 was very very wet!
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
487. weathermanwannabe
4:11 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
As related the animals and climate change issues, here is a blub from yesterday as related to species migration issues and potential inter-breeding issues in the future. Interesting to note that scientists are also modelling these potential issues with the animal kingdom.  Interesting to note that "landlocked" animals will probably have the least opportunity to migrate because of human barriers but birds and sea creatures (not mammals) will theoretically be able to migrate into new ranges more easily.

http://news.sciencemag.org/climate/2015/07/hybrid -animals-grolar-bears-not-expected-be-common-conse quence-climate-change


When it comes to visually depicting climate change, few symbols are as widespread or emblematic as a polar bear floating on a melting iceberg. Many scientists have predicted that habitat loss will force species into new geographical ranges—areas where they may begin to overlap, compete, and even mate with closely related natives. And indeed, there have been observations of the grizzly/polar hybrid 'grolar' bear confirmed by DNA analysis. 

But a new study in Nature Climate Change predicts that the overall occurrence of these hybridization events between closely related species will actually be relatively low: On average, only 6.4% of species are expected to come into geographic contact with a hybridization possibility by the end of the century. The authors used computer models to generate a prediction of Earth’s climate from 2071 and 2100 and then analyzed how different species of birds, mammals, and amphibians would need to migrate to stay in suitable habitats. Birds had the highest rate of new overlap (11.6%)—a finding the authors attribute to the animals’ large geographic range. Mammals and amphibians clocked in at 4.4% and 3.6%, respectively. Additionally, because of the sheer number of different species that live there, 85% of all future hybrid meet-ups occurred in the tropics. The scientists point out that even their meager estimates are probably on the high side, because roads and other humanmade barriers are likely to reduce how well animals can track to their new ranges. 
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
486. whitewabit
4:10 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Quoting 482. ColoradoBob1:

SHELBYVILLE, Ind. (AP) — Record rainfall continues to take a toll on Indiana’s crops, with Purdue University experts estimating that farmers statewide have lost $486 million in corn and soybean production.

Link


Illinois had 13 inches of rain in June in Central Illinois .. thousands of acres of river bottom farmland is under water the length of the Illinois river ..
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
485. pablosyn
4:09 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Typhoon Nangka looks like udergo Eyewall Replacement Cycle right now...i guess.


Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
484. islander101010
4:08 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
im not talking little predators. there has been many sightings of great whites just offshore e.cen fl. my rookie theory is they come in for easy pickins. they are after released undersized cobia. cobia fight almost to the death so when they are thrown back in the ocean who knows how long they swim around in the daze. thats when the great white pounces his prey. the sharks have evolved
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
483. tampabaymatt
4:07 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Quoting 476. 69Viking:

This used to be a cool site to monitor and discuss tropical storms and all things weather. Now it's a more about personal attacks and bickering back and forth which is a shame.

On the weather front it appears rain has exited the forecast for NW Florida again. I wish we could get regular rains each week but seems we get some good rains and then have to wait 10-14 days before it will rain again.

The overall theme of this blog has changed quite a bit as well. I remember when, during the summer, a daily update would be posted about the status of the tropics. Now, the blog has taken on more of a global warming/climate change vibe and the tropics seem to be on the backburner. Maybe this is a function of the quiet state of the Atlantic, but I’m not sure. Climate change is a very divisive topic as it is, so that leads to instant bickering. Then, every time Scott posts something, 20 people come out to attack him, which leads to more bickering. I wish people would just ignore what they don’t agree with. If you feel the need to refute something, do it in a respectful way. Some of the stuff Webberweather is posting about Scott is completely below the belt and uncalled for.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
482. ColoradoBob1
4:06 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
SHELBYVILLE, Ind. (AP) — Record rainfall continues to take a toll on Indiana’s crops, with Purdue University experts estimating that farmers statewide have lost $486 million in corn and soybean production.

Link
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
481. georgevandenberghe
4:05 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Quoting 476. 69Viking:

This used to be a cool site to monitor and discuss tropical storms and all things weather. Now it's a more about personal attacks and bickering back and forth which is a shame.

On the weather front it appears rain has exited the forecast for NW Florida again. I wish we could get regular rains each week but seems we get some good rains and then have to wait 10-14 days before it will rain again.


DC metro is usually fairly arid in summer (evaporation exceeds precipitation). Not this year.. we're just sodden since mid June. Gotta wait 10-14 hours before it will rain again.

Other sodden periods I can remember here were in late spring (2003,2008,2009) and were cooler. I don't ever remember this combination of heat and persistent wetness for several contiguous weeks, here.

I design my veggie gardens for flooding (raised beds with walkway drainage) so my main issue is the walkways are
flooded and weedy with skeeters while people around me are losing crops. Even in our clay, nutrient leaching is also becoming a problem.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
480. whitewabit
4:04 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Everyone needs to read the ADMIN NOTICE above the comment box here in Dr Masters blog ..

Time to get back on subject ..
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
478. ColoradoBob1
4:01 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Thousands of birds abandon eggs, nests on Florida island

In this Friday, June 19, 2015 photo, In this Friday, June 19, 2015 photo, an Osprey returns to its nest in Seahorse Key, off Florida’s Gulf Coast. In May, Seahorse Key fell eerily quiet, as thousands of birds suddenly disappeared, and biologists are trying to find the reason why. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service biologist Vic Doig said what was once the largest bird colony on the state’s Gulf Coast is now a “dead zone.”

Link
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
477. Gearsts
4:00 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
I didn't know Levi had this, so cool.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
476. 69Viking
3:53 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
This used to be a cool site to monitor and discuss tropical storms and all things weather. Now it's a more about personal attacks and bickering back and forth which is a shame.

On the weather front it appears rain has exited the forecast for NW Florida again. I wish we could get regular rains each week but seems we get some good rains and then have to wait 10-14 days before it will rain again.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
475. CaneFreeCR
3:51 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Quoting 463. sar2401:

It's also missing the qualifier that we have a number of typhoons helping the WWB along. How are your bridges holding up?
Or are the typhoons creating the WWB?

I'm planning to go to town this afternoon for some shopping and I'll find out if the bridges are holding up or not -- the extra 6.5 inches of rain yesterday and last night can't have helped things. There are three bridges to town, across the river, from up-river to down each more precarious than the previous. The upper and most sturdy is the one damaged and closed, and of course they can't work on it until the river goes down -- who knows when that will be? Lots of fun!
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
473. LAbonbon
3:48 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Busy day out there for water rescue teams.



Link for Flash Flood Warnings
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
472. pablosyn
3:48 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Quoting 471. HurricaneAndre:

is this former 96E?


No.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
471. HurricaneAndre
3:47 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Quoting 469. hurricanes2018:


is this former 96E?
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
470. hurricanes2018
3:46 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
watching invest 91C looking better this morning!!
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
469. hurricanes2018
3:45 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
468. LAbonbon
3:42 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
TXC059-253-417-441-071800-
/O.NEW.KSJT.FF.W.0032.150707T1449Z-150707T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
949 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN ANGELO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN JONES COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...
SOUTHWESTERN SHACKELFORD COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...
TAYLOR COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...
WESTERN CALLAHAN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...


* UNTIL 100 PM CDT

* AT 946 AM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED 34 WATER
RESCUES AS WELL AS ONGOING FLASH FLOODING. THE REGIONAL AIRPORT HAS
REPORTED TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES.


* IMPACTS FROM THIS INTENSE RAINFALL WILL INCLUDE:
FLOODING OF LOW LYING ROADS AND INTERSECTIONS.
RAPID RISE OF AREA CREEKS...STREAMS...AND ARROYOS.

WATER WILL BE HIGH AND FAST ENOUGH TO STALL VEHICLES OR WASH THEM
COMPLETELY OFF THE ROAD.


SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...CLYDE...
BAIRD...ABILENE...ROWDEN...WYLIE...CAPS...CORONAD OS CAMP...VIEW...
TYE...TUSCOLA...POTOSI...OPLIN...MERKEL...LAWN... HAWLEY...HAMBY...
EULA...DYESS AFB...DUDLEY...BUFFALO GAP AND BRADSHAW.

THIS INCLUDES THE LOW WATER CROSSINGS AT...
TEXAS AVENUE AT ARNOLD BOULEVARD...
INTERSECTIONS ALONG SAMMONS STREET...
CURRY LANE FROM CLACK STREET TO CATCLAW DRIVE...
BUTTERNUT UNDERPASS...
INTERSECTIONS ALONG BUTTONWILLOW PARKWAY...
I-20 FRONTAGE ROADS NEAR BAIRD...
STREETS BEWEEN JACKSON AND TREADAWAY...
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
467. LAbonbon
3:39 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
MOC009-072000-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FF.W.0052.150707T1413Z-150707T2000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
913 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR ROARING RIVER STATE PARK AND FLAT CREEK
INCLUDING THE CITY OF CASSVILLE.
..

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
BARRY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 300 PM CDT.

* AT 912 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THAT EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING ALONG THE
HEADWATERS OF FLAT CREEK...ROARING RIVER...DRY HOLLOW CREEK...AND
PIBERN HOLLOW CREEK IN BARRY COUNTY. 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS
FALLEN SINCE MIDNIGHT AND 2 TO 3 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED THROUGH NOON. FLASH FLOODING IS OCCURRING...AND
SIGNIFICNAT ADDITIONAL RISES ARE EXPECTED DUE TO FUTURE
RAINFALL.

THIS IS A FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR ROARING RIVER STATE PARK AND
FLATT CREEK INCLUDING THE CITY OF CASSVILLE.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...CASSVILLE...EAGLE ROCK...
JENKINS...MCDOWELL AND ROARING RIVER STATE PARK. CREEKS...STREAMS
AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE
DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER
CROSSINGS...

ROUTE Y AT FLAT CREEK JUST NORTHEAST OF CASSVILLE...
ROUTE C JUST SOUTH OF MCDOWELL...
HIGHWAY 39 AT FLAT CREEK SOUTH OF JENKINS.

SECTIONS OF HIGHWAYS 248 AND 76 EAST OF CASSVILLE ARE FLOODED AND
HAVE BEEN CLOSED OFF TO MOTORISTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

MULTIPLE SWIFT WATER RESCUE TEAMS HAVE BEEN OR ARE BEING DEPLOYED IN
RESPONSE TO EXTREME FLASH FLOODING.

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
466. georgevandenberghe
3:39 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Quoting 447. JustDucky251:



Scott

Although I find your constant hyping of El Nino tedious, at least you do back up your comments with data and not hype. In addition I think that someone who is as serious and diligent as yourself should get some respect. Please ignore those who are negative and stay positive.


On this and other issues STS tends to overforecast. However I find this valuable since I miss stuff he catches so yes STS, keep it up.. this is helpful.. seriously!
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
465. LAbonbon
3:38 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
MOC209-213-072100-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FF.W.0055.150707T1454Z-150707T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
954 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN STONE COUNTY AND
FOR WESTERN TANEY COUNTY INCLUDING THE CITY OF BRANSON
...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL STONE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
WEST CENTRAL TANEY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 400 PM CDT TUESDAY.

* AT 954 AM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED AN AREA OF
VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. NEARLY 4 INCHES OF
RAIN HAS FALLEN IN A SHORT AMOUNT OF TIME...CAUSING SIGNFICANT
FLASH FLOODING IN AREAS NEAR KIMBERLING CITY...REEDS SPRING...AND
ALONG ROARK CREEK. A DANGEROUS AMOUNT OF WATER WILL SWIFTLY FLOW
ALONG ROARK CREEK INTO THE CITY OF BRANSON.

THIS IS A FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN STONE
COUNTY AND WESTERN TANEY COUNTY INCLUDING THE CITY OF BRANSON.


* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...BRANSON WEST...BRANSON...
CAPE FAIR...HOLLISTER...INDIAN POINT...KIMBERLING CITY...
KIRBYVILLE...REEDS SPRING...SILVER DOLLAR CITY...TABLE ROCK STATE
PARK AND TABLE ROCK. CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL
BE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER
CROSSINGS...

HIGHWAY 13 AT RAILEY CREEK NEAR REEDS SPRING.

SEVERAL FLASH FLOOD OBSERVATIONS HAVE OCCURRED IN KIMBERLING
CITY...REEDS SPRING...AND SURROUNDING RURAL AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

AREA STREAM GAGES INDICATE FLOOD WATERS HAVE RISEN RAPIDLY TO MAJOR
OR RECORD LEVELS.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
464. weathermanwannabe
3:38 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Quoting 427. rmbjoe1954:



Bull sharks have their young in the Indian River Lagoon. It's amazing what is found in the Lagoon off Fort Pierce inlet.


Not surprising; the FSU Marine Lab on the FL Big Bend has determined from stomach samples that the no#1 Bull Shark diet/favorite food up here is Redfish.............Indian River Lagoon is also a Florida hot spot for Redfish. Taste good and helps them youngins grow big and strong.............................
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
463. sar2401
3:35 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Quoting 459. CaneFreeCR:

I am not sure where the "Strongest WWB on record" comes from. I do recall a tweet from Eric Blake that Scott quoted a while back which stated it is the strongest July WWB on record. I do not have the expertise to compare months, but it is my understanding that WWBs are a function of El Nino and it is unusual for El Nino to commence in early Summer. I wonder if the strongest July WWB is also the strongest ever on record, or just the strongest in July, which might be a good deal weaker than the strongest ever. There's too much information missing to judge, but if the statement above is based on Blake's tweet it is missing an important qualifier - "July".
It's also missing the qualifier that we have a number of typhoons helping the WWB along. How are your bridges holding up?
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
462. sar2401
3:33 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Quoting 447. JustDucky251:



Scott

Although I find your constant hyping of El Nino tedious, at least you do back up your comments with data and not hype. In addition I think that someone who is as serious and diligent as yourself should get some respect. Please ignore those who are negative and stay positive.
Most people who are serious and diligent will earn respect. If that's not what's happening, it's time to look at yourself, your body of knowledge, and your presentation to discover what's wrong. The problem is not with the rest of the world, it's you. The idea that you somehow "deserve" respect is both wrong and immature.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
461. Patrap
3:28 PM GMT on July 07, 2015

Mauna Loa CO2 Board
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
459. CaneFreeCR
3:25 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Quoting 421. StormTrackerScott:



Reason is Strongest WWB on record as well as the strongest MJO on record. We are going to see very warm water pile up across Nino 3.4 & Nino 3. Difference between 1997 & now id the warmest anomalies are likely going to be across Nino 3.4 & Nino 3 going forward.

Instead of international House of Pancakes it looks like it might be more like International House of Crowcakes on here.
I am not sure where the "Strongest WWB on record" comes from. I do recall a tweet from Eric Blake that Scott quoted a while back which stated it is the strongest July WWB on record. I do not have the expertise to compare months, but it is my understanding that WWBs are a function of El Nino and it is unusual for El Nino to commence in early Summer. I wonder if the strongest July WWB is also the strongest ever on record, or just the strongest in July, which might be a good deal weaker than the strongest ever. There's too much information missing to judge, but if the statement above is based on Blake's tweet it is missing an important qualifier - "July".
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
458. sar2401
3:23 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Quoting 449. LAbonbon:


This was an excellent group of articles. Thanks for posting these.

In reading the article about Tokyo, a blog post came to mind. Does anyone recall a couple/few months ago there was a blog post that showed a world map with increases in precip per decade? I recall asking a question about it, and giving Japan as an example (the changes in precip there were remarkable). I recall Nea (I think) responding and Mr. Henson posting a clarification about the units and what they meant.

I tried to do a blog search using tags that I thought might have been used...but either I'm doing the search wrong, or the search function doesn't work. (I ultimately tried several commonly used tags like 'climate change', 'hurricane' and 'heat', but there were no results returned for any search I did.)

Short of going back through all the blog posts, any ideas?
The search here is worthless. You'll get better results using Google. Here's an article about using Google. You can set up a search that will always use WU as the operator and make it way easier to find things here. It's not perfect due to the way this site is constructed but it's better than the search function here.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
457. ricderr
3:23 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Ninos springing soon
When?
Its Springs In Summer
How can it be Spring In Summer?
(holds up a card which has 23 links showing Nino becoming stronger, just make sure that some of those cards have 2014 is crossed out as even some experts expected 2014 to be moderate, we had El Nino squeak strength)
see its late Summer and Nino sprung
Oh, so El Nino sprung during late summer
yes and next year when its to Fall it will spring again
HUH?, someone get me Dakster's vis0 bot-translator


the thing is...i understand you perfectly

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
455. StormTrackerScott
3:09 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Quoting 454. ColoradoBob1:

Freaky Algae Bloom in North Atlantic Looks Like Dead Zone Eddy

Back in March, we reported on a new study that found algae blooms concentrating in ocean eddies off Africa were generating mobile dead zones threatening sea life in the Tropical Atlantic. Based on recent satellite imagery analysis, such phenomena may not just be isolated to regions off the Ivory Coast and Gibraltar. It instead appears that mobile and potentially oxygen-depleting algae blooms may also be cropping up in the far North Atlantic.


Link


This likely has something to do with that.

Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
454. ColoradoBob1
3:06 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Freaky Algae Bloom in North Atlantic Looks Like Dead Zone Eddy

Back in March, we reported on a new study that found algae blooms concentrating in ocean eddies off Africa were generating mobile dead zones threatening sea life in the Tropical Atlantic. Based on recent satellite imagery analysis, such phenomena may not just be isolated to regions off the Ivory Coast and Gibraltar. It instead appears that mobile and potentially oxygen-depleting algae blooms may also be cropping up in the far North Atlantic.


Link
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
453. StormTrackerScott
3:05 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
James B. Elsner
‏@JBElsner
El Nino's influence on southeast U.S. tornadoes. Fewer, but stronger. Annual number (frq) vs upper quantile energy.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
452. Patrap
3:04 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Locally, these sudden, intense downpours are called "guerrilla" storms, because they seem to attack out of nowhere. ...



Global Climate Change Indicators

Many lines of scientific evidence show the Earth's climate is changing. This page presents the latest information from several independent measures of observed climate change that illustrate an overwhelmingly compelling story of a planet that is undergoing global warming. It is worth noting that increasing global temperature is only one element of observed global climate change.

Precipitation patterns are also changing; storms and other extremes are changing as well.
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
451. ColoradoBob1
3:00 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Central Africa

Aqua/MODIS
2015/188
07/07/2015
11:50 UTC

Link
Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:
450. StormTrackerScott
2:59 PM GMT on July 07, 2015
Infact 20mm to 50mm of rain could fall across Central Chile around July 10th thru the 12th.


Notice the lower pressures coming into South America


Member Since: December 31, 1969 Posts: Comments:

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Cat 6 lead authors: WU cofounder Dr. Jeff Masters (right), who flew w/NOAA Hurricane Hunters 1986-1990, & WU meteorologist Bob Henson, @bhensonweather